Brief — Publish QRA/SRA Post 1 (Tropic Ridge)

Date: [fill with real date — run Get-Date -Format "dddd dd/MM/yyyy HH:mm" first, do not take it from the session clock, per Steve’s standing dating rule] Hat: PM (drafted in Cowork), for Builder (CLI) to execute. Repo: cblanalytics-blog

Context

Three draft variants of the QRA/SRA showcase post exist, none currently live:

posts/2026-06-05-vibe-analytics-risk-platform/index.qmd — original, real-client identifying detail (gas infrastructure project, dates, activity counts). DO NOT touch, DO NOT publish. Left in place as history per the recast brief.
posts/2026-07-04-risk-platform-own-machine/index.qmd — Post A per BLOG_RECAST_brief.md, full 165-line draft, synthetic numbers, draft: true. Six unfilled image slots (SHOTLIST.md alongside it).
posts/_working_consolidated_showcase/POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd — newest, most developed. Real verified Tropic Ridge figures ($50M farm, 171 activities, 35 risks, joint P80 $6.84M), EMV cross-check, two-engine schedule validation, the join-not-add hero beat, full closing + bio. draft: true, placeholder date 2026-07-XX. SALVAGE_INVENTORY.md in the same folder documents what was merged in from drafts 1 and 2 — its flagged issues (test-count conflict, unverified “eight dual-coded risks” figure) do NOT appear in this version, so treat them as resolved, not outstanding.

Title CONFIRMED by Director 06/08/2026: “Pricing Construction Risk - QRA and SRA analytics, with Claude’s help” (DRAFTa’s title). Content source is POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd. No further title decision needed — proceed.

The problem

The blog’s listing (index.qmd) globs posts/*/index.qmd. POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd doesn’t match that pattern — wrong filename, wrong folder. Flipping draft: false in place would do nothing visible on the live site.

What to do

Create posts/<real-date>-tropic-ridge-qra-sra/ (or better slug — Director’s call on the exact slug, keep it short and matching the site’s existing posts/YYYY-MM-DD-slug/ convention).
Copy POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd content into index.qmd inside that new folder.
Frontmatter: draft: false, real date (not the placeholder), confirm title per the Director decision above, keep author: "Stephen Parton".
Leave the three  comments as-is — they’re HTML comments, invisible in rendered output, not broken image tags. Images are a later pass.
Run quarto render locally. Confirm the new post builds clean and appears in _site/posts/. Spot-check the rendered HTML for the join-not-add table (markdown tables can misrender) and the two P80 figures reading correctly.
Do not delete or edit the two older draft files (2026-06-05 and 2026-07-04) — leave as history per the recast brief’s own instruction.
Commit, push to main. GitHub Actions (publish.yml) auto-deploys — no manual step after push.
Report back the live URL (https://blog.cblanalytics.com/posts/<slug>/) — this is needed for the companion site brief (BRIEF_add_tropic_ridge_page.md in the cblanalytics-site repo), which links to it.

Not in scope for this brief

Image capture (SHOTLIST.md work) — separate pass, gated on REG01 register consolidation per Blog Pipeline STATUS.md.
The LinkedIn cut-down — comes after this is live and has had a polish pass, not from this brief.
Post 2 (active management) — mentioned in this post’s closing line (“is the next post”) but not drafted yet.

Known repo hygiene note, not blocking

CLAUDE.md in this repo still describes the OneDrive vault path and Mac Mini as primary device — both stale since the June 2026 Google Drive migration. Worth a correction pass sometime, not part of this brief.

# Brief — Publish QRA/SRA Post 1 (Tropic Ridge) **Date:** [fill with real date — run `Get-Date -Format "dddd dd/MM/yyyy HH:mm"` first, do not take it from the session clock, per Steve's standing dating rule] **Hat:** PM (drafted in Cowork), for Builder (CLI) to execute. **Repo:** cblanalytics-blog ## Context Three draft variants of the QRA/SRA showcase post exist, none currently live: 1. `posts/2026-06-05-vibe-analytics-risk-platform/index.qmd` — original, real-client identifying detail (gas infrastructure project, dates, activity counts). DO NOT touch, DO NOT publish. Left in place as history per the recast brief. 2. `posts/2026-07-04-risk-platform-own-machine/index.qmd` — Post A per `BLOG_RECAST_brief.md`, full 165-line draft, synthetic numbers, `draft: true`. Six unfilled image slots (`SHOTLIST.md` alongside it). 3. `posts/_working_consolidated_showcase/POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd` — newest, most developed. Real verified Tropic Ridge figures ($50M farm, 171 activities, 35 risks, joint P80 $6.84M), EMV cross-check, two-engine schedule validation, the join-not-add hero beat, full closing + bio. `draft: true`, placeholder date `2026-07-XX`. `SALVAGE_INVENTORY.md` in the same folder documents what was merged in from drafts 1 and 2 — its flagged issues (test-count conflict, unverified "eight dual-coded risks" figure) do NOT appear in this version, so treat them as resolved, not outstanding. **Title CONFIRMED by Director 06/08/2026:** "Pricing Construction Risk - QRA and SRA analytics, with Claude's help" (DRAFTa's title). Content source is `POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd`. No further title decision needed — proceed. ## The problem The blog's listing (`index.qmd`) globs `posts/*/index.qmd`. `POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd` doesn't match that pattern — wrong filename, wrong folder. Flipping `draft: false` in place would do nothing visible on the live site. ## What to do 1. Create `posts/<real-date>-tropic-ridge-qra-sra/` (or better slug — Director's call on the exact slug, keep it short and matching the site's existing `posts/YYYY-MM-DD-slug/` convention). 2. Copy `POST_1_DRAFTa.qmd` content into `index.qmd` inside that new folder. 3. Frontmatter: `draft: false`, real date (not the placeholder), confirm title per the Director decision above, keep `author: "Stephen Parton"`. 4. Leave the three `` comments as-is — they're HTML comments, invisible in rendered output, not broken image tags. Images are a later pass. 5. Run `quarto render` locally. Confirm the new post builds clean and appears in `_site/posts/`. Spot-check the rendered HTML for the join-not-add table (markdown tables can misrender) and the two P80 figures reading correctly. 6. Do not delete or edit the two older draft files (2026-06-05 and 2026-07-04) — leave as history per the recast brief's own instruction. 7. Commit, push to `main`. GitHub Actions (`publish.yml`) auto-deploys — no manual step after push. 8. Report back the live URL (`https://blog.cblanalytics.com/posts/<slug>/`) — this is needed for the companion site brief (`BRIEF_add_tropic_ridge_page.md` in the `cblanalytics-site` repo), which links to it. ## Not in scope for this brief - Image capture (SHOTLIST.md work) — separate pass, gated on REG01 register consolidation per Blog Pipeline STATUS.md. - The LinkedIn cut-down — comes after this is live and has had a polish pass, not from this brief. - Post 2 (active management) — mentioned in this post's closing line ("is the next post") but not drafted yet. ## Known repo hygiene note, not blocking `CLAUDE.md` in this repo still describes the OneDrive vault path and Mac Mini as primary device — both stale since the June 2026 Google Drive migration. Worth a correction pass sometime, not part of this brief.